Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.73	3.38	4.85
	1.76	3.36	5.04	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.73	3.3	4.59
	1.68	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.45)	3.35 ↑ (2.92)	4.74 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
53.5%

Draw
27.3%

Juventud de Las Piedras
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uruguay Montevideo's performance.

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uruguay Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay Montevideo: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Alaniz K. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Aires A. ⚽,
90+5', Alaniz K. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay Montevideo won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Juventud have a series of home games.

In this match Uruguay Montevideo is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Uruguay Montevideo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Uruguay Montevideo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.12.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ET ✺
19.11.24	Montevideo City Torque - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLT
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.12.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Colón Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:3 ✺
29.11.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.11.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.10.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.12.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0
17.08.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1
19.05.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
27.04.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
14.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2
30.06.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:0
25.09.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	0:3

Upcoming Matches