Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4	3.1	1.89
	4.3	3.12	1.92
	3.94	3.13	2.03	Watch
	4	3.1	1.85
	4.19	3.13	1.85
	4	3.1	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.3)	3.11 ↑ (3.08)	1.9 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
22.6%

Draw
29.3%

Plaza Colonia
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plaza Colonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sud América - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 3)
49', 1 - 0, Navarro A. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Navarro A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Barros C. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Quintana R. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Pablo Garcia ⚽,
76', 3 - 3, Pucheta J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 1.

Recent matches Sud América is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plaza Colonia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Plaza Colonia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.09.24	Oriental de La Paz - Sud América	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Sud América - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLTT
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.09.24	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Plaza Colonia - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Cooper - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Plaza Colonia - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.24	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.21	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	1:1
10.07.21	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	1:0
15.10.17	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	2:2
19.03.17	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	2:3
10.12.16	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	0:3
15.05.16	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	0:2

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