Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.65	2.96	2.81
	2.61	2.96	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.58	2.91	2.66
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.72 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
35.5%

Draw
31%

Rentistas
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

31.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sud América's performance.

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rentistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sud América that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rentistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Sud América - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sud América will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rentistas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Andrade F. ⚽,
89', Seoane M. 🟥,
90', Izquierdo R. 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
90+6', Gonzalez M. 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sud América won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Last Results with these Odds

Rentistas - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.07.24	Cooper - Sud América	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Sud América - Tacuarembó	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Cerrito - Sud América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLTW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.24	Rentistas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Rentistas - Cooper	1:1 ✺
05.06.24	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.12.23	Sud América - Rentistas	0:0
28.07.23	Rentistas - Sud América	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.21	Sud América - Rentistas	3:1
14.08.21	Rentistas - Sud América	1:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.11.19	Rentistas - Sud América	4:0
09.11.19	Sud América - Rentistas	0:0
13.07.19	Rentistas - Sud América	1:2

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