The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rentistas 39.2%
Draw 31.2%
Atenas de San Carlos 29.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
28.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
28.8%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 4.
In recent outings, Rentistas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Atenas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rentistas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rentistas has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rentistas holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Rentistas has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rentistas against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atenas
24
13
5
6
35:22
13
44
3
Rentistas
24
10
7
7
32:27
5
37
Last Results with these Odds
Rentistas - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.