Match Info

Date: 9 August 2021, Monday


	Sud América		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2
	3.45	3.1	2.06
	3.65	3.36	2.16
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.46	3.28	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
26.8%

Draw
28.2%

Montevideo Wanderers
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

18.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sud América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

Sud América is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wanderers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sud América won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.21	Boston River - Sud América	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	Sud América - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	Plaza Colonia - Sud América	1:0 ✺
04.07.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Sud América	1:3 ✺
29.06.21	Sud América - Progreso	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLWL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
10.07.21	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.07.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
29.06.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.17	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	1:0
09.07.17	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	2:0
07.05.17	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2
23.10.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	2:1
07.05.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	0:2
31.10.15	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
07.06.15	Montevideo Wanderers - Sud América	1:2

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