Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)


	Gateshead		Sunderland U21

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.89	3.45
	1.87	3.85	3.34	Watch
	1.86	3.84	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	3.86 ↑ (3.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
49.2%

Draw
23.9%

Sunderland U21
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gateshead - Sunderland U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sunderland U21 (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 15. Bakare I. 35. Bone C. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 42. Gettins H. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 34. Melbourne M. 9. Telford D.	1. Cameron D. (G) 7. Ba A. 5. Johnson Z. 3. Jones J. 4. Jones J. 6. Kindon B. 8. Matete J. 10. Middlemas B. 9. Moore E. 2. Pembele T. 11. Tuterov T.
Substitutes
10. Butterfield J. 41. Da Silva G. 3. Ferguson D. 6. Flint W. 13. Leech P. (G) 38. Lish J. 14. Nouble F.	. Allan I. (G) . Dinsdale C. . Holcroft F. . Lightfoot A. . Neild J. . Scott F. . Walsh R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Middlemas B. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Telford D. ⚽, Home J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Telford D. ↓, Lish J. ↑,
46', Melbourne M. ↓, Ferguson D. ↑,
46', Kindon B. ↓, Holcroft F. ↑,
58', Bakare I. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
58', Edwards C. ↓, Butterfield J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Ba A. ⚽,
63', Tuterov T. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
63', Jones J. ↓, Lightfoot A. ↑,
78', Chapman H. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, Home J. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sunderland U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of away games.

Gateshead is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
18.10.25	Brackley Town - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Aveley - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLWW
- Sunderland U21
English Premier League Cup
17.10.25	Sunderland U21 - Colchester United U21	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Sunderland U21 - Norwich City U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
04.10.25	Aston Villa U21 - Sunderland U21	3:3 ✺
26.09.25	Burnley U21 - Sunderland U21	0:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
04.12.24	Gateshead - Sunderland U21	3:2 penalties

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