Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 30

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Gefle

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.24	3.29	3.19	Watch
	2.27	3.3	3.41
	2.19	3.26	3.31	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.19	3.38	3.2	Watch
	2.24	3.29	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	3.24 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
42.6%

Draw
28.5%

Gefle
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sundsvall's form might have worsened.

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sundsvall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gefle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sundsvall - Gefle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (C) 18. Forsberg L. 2. Peprah Oppong K. 4. Svanberg L. 30. Kralj A. 6. Hudu A. 23. Aviander H. 3. Jelassi M. 15. Palomino M. 9. Kagayama T. 19. Finey Y.	22. Nilsson M. (G) 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 3. Adolfsson J. 7. Edqvist A. 44. Ranera I. 35. Adrian S. 15. Friberg G. 9. Hjelte J. 11. Englund L. 24. Rafael Y.
Substitutes
14. Bengtsson J. 7. Burman M. 21. Engblom P. 13. Henareh D. (G) 12. Lindgren P. 8. Manchon M. 17. Nordh G.	19. Aspgren C. 12. Bellman H. 6. Browning L. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 10. Izountouemoi S. 27. Johansson T. (G)
Coaches
Ates E.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Rafael Y. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Finey Y. ⚽, Kagayama T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Friberg G. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
65', Persson K. ↓, Aspgren C. ↑,
70', Palomino M. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
77', Edqvist A. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
77', Forsberg L. ↓, Burman M. ↑,
78', Finey Y. ↓, Lindgren P. ↑,
78', Jelassi M. ↓, Engblom P. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Svanberg L. (Pen),
87', Ranera I. ↓, Hakansson N. ↑,
87', Adrian S. ↓, Browning L. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Burman M. ⚽, Kagayama T. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sundsvall is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:17 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
02.11.24	Sandviken - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sundsvall - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
21.10.24	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sundsvall - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Skövde AIK - Sundsvall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLLW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
02.11.24	Gefle - Utsikten	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Trelleborg - Gefle	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Gefle - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Gefle - Brage	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Helsingborg - Gefle	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
17.05.24	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:0
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Sundsvall - Gefle	6:1
Swedish Superettan
28.09.23	Sundsvall - Gefle	2:2
31.05.23	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:3
Club Friendly
06.02.21	Sundsvall - Gefle	0:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.10.16	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:1
07.04.16	Sundsvall - Gefle	1:2

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