Match Info

Date: 23 May 2022, Monday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.35	2.25
	3.15	3.2	2.24
	3.25	3.39	2.35
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.16	3.42	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.19)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
29.5%

Draw
28.7%

Mjällby
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.6%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.8%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	12.1%	78.8%

Sundsvall - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 6 - 9.1%). Mjällby will win (votes: 52 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 68.9% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 8).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (46.34%), has project points - 21, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mjällby has the most likely position - 9 (11.29%), has project points - 45, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has small quality 17, small importance 25, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sundsvall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mjällby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjällby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mjällby will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sundsvall: Hallenius L. (Injury)

There will not play in Mjällby: Silverholt T. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.05.22	Norrköping - Sundsvall	5:1 ✺
09.05.22	Sundsvall - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
01.05.22	Sundsvall - AIK	0:2 ✺
25.04.22	Elfsborg - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
20.04.22	Sundsvall - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLLW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.05.22	Mjällby - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Malmö - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Mjällby - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Mjällby - Sirius	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
21.07.12	Sundsvall - Mjällby	3:1

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