Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 29

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		Sirius

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.88
	4.2	3.9	1.8
	3.75	3.75	1.83
	3.9	3.9	1.93
	3.6	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.74	3.86	1.87	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.46)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	1.86 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
24.7%

Draw
24.8%

Sirius
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

25.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	5%	65%

Sundsvall - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Sirius will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 12).

Sundsvall is Relegated to Superettan

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (96.17%), has project points - 15, has currently - 14, was already of relegated.

Sirius has the most likely position - 12 (42.2%), has project points - 36, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 13, very small importance 1, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 2.

Sundsvall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sirius is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sirius is a favorite.

There will not play in Sundsvall: Bengtsson J. (Injury) Hallenius L. (Injury)

There will not play in Sirius: Nilsson D. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.10.22	Djurgården - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
19.10.22	Sundsvall - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Häcken - Sundsvall	4:1 ✺
09.10.22	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Sundsvall - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWL
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.10.22	Sirius - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.10.22	Hammarby - Sirius	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Sirius - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Degerfors - Sirius	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Sirius - AIK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.04.22	Sirius - Sundsvall	2:1
Club Friendly
20.03.21	Sirius - Sundsvall	0:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.19	Sundsvall - Sirius	2:1
15.05.19	Sirius - Sundsvall	1:0
02.09.18	Sundsvall - Sirius	4:0
03.07.18	Sirius - Sundsvall	1:3
Club Friendly
20.01.18	Sirius - Sundsvall	0:4

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