Match Info

Virsliga - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Jana Skredela stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Super Nova		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.20	3.60	1.65
	5.4	3.55	1.58	Watch
	4.89	3.96	1.68
	5.32	3.97	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.43	3.74	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↓ (5.57)	3.74 ↓ (3.79)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
17.9%

Draw
24.5%

Auda Riga
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

24%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

23.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Super Nova - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Auda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vilkovs S. (G) 20. Ndiaye I. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 21. Tihonovics M. 24. Sitjakovs R. 6. Emsis E. 3. Iida R. 10. Lizunovs V. 9. Bamba 27. Pathe N.	98. Purins N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 6. Kragliks R. 4. Ouedraogo M. 71. Rubenis O. 14. Ibrahim H. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 25. Diedhiou B. 8. Bongemba E. 47. Kone K. 7. Vergara J.
Substitutes
29. Baghdasaryan A. 23. Barkovskis N. 5. Cirulis J. 19. Grikovs A. 8. Maksimovs K. 22. Skadmanis K. 26. Sylla I. 18. Vasilevskis M. 90. Veisbuks D. (G)	80. Aranda S. 18. Arroyo A. 23. Fofana M. 10. Fofana W. 46. Gerold J. 26. Lusweki H. 77. Minins J. 22. Ogunji A. 1. Sturins R. (G)
Coaches
Rafalskis M.	Zanetti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Vergara J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Ndiaye I. ↓, Grikovs A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pathe N. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
48', Sitjakovs R. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Vergara J. ⚽, Diedhiou B. (A),
55', Vergara J. 🟨,
63', Rubenis O. 🟨,
65', Iida R. ↓, Baghdasaryan A. ↑,
65', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
66', Rubenis O. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
66', Diedhiou B. ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Kone K. ⚽, Kragliks R. (A),
74', Romanovs K. ↓, Cirulis J. ↑,
80', Ibrahim H. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
80', Bongemba E. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
88', Kone K. ↓, Lusweki H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.

Recent form of Super Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.

In this match, Auda is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:46. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	29:40	-11	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
16.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Liepāja - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Super Nova - RFS	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Riga - Super Nova	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
17.06.26	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Auda Riga - Ogre United	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
01.05.26	Super Nova - Auda Riga	1:2
08.03.26	Auda Riga - Super Nova	2:1
22.09.25	Auda Riga - Super Nova	3:2
Latvian Cup
18.08.25	Auda Riga - Super Nova	3:1 ET
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.25	Super Nova - Auda Riga	0:1
11.05.25	Super Nova - Auda Riga	1:1
16.03.25	Auda Riga - Super Nova	1:0

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