Match Info

Virsliga - Round 18

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	Tukums 2000		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.80	1.60
	4.10	3.65	1.68	Watch
	4.89	4.24	1.63
	3.66	4.25	1.78	Watch
	4.40	3.80	1.62
	4.51	4.06	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (4.12)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000
21.3%

Draw
23.2%

Auda Riga
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

24.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.1%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Baturins I. (G) 8. Reingolcs R. 30. Susts M. 88. Stals M. 46. Enyou A. 17. Derkach M. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 4. Anmanis Kaspars 7. Shibata S. 11. Leoni 19. Oloko E.	98. Purins N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 4. Ouedraogo M. 18. Arroyo A. 71. Rubenis O. 8. Bongemba E. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 47. Kone K. 10. Fofana W. 46. Gerold J. 25. Diedhiou B.
Substitutes
22. Baumanis R. 18. Calbergs D. 27. Deruzinskis R. 25. Joksts H. 16. Klavins K. 28. Melkis R. 35. Minajevs K. (G) 5. Toba J. 21. Valmiers D.	80. Aranda S. 23. Fofana M. 14. Ibrahim H. 6. Kragliks R. 26. Lusweki H. 77. Minins J. 22. Ogunji A. 1. Sturins R. (G) 7. Vergara J.
Coaches
Dislers K.	Zanetti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Bongemba E. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Samoilovs B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Rubenis O. ⚽,
39', Enyou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Leoni 🟨,
51', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽, Samoilovs B. (A),
65', Reingolcs R. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
65', Leoni ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
69', Diedhiou B. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
69', Fofana W. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
76', Kone K. ↓, Vergara J. ↑,
76', Gerold J. ↓, Lusweki H. ↑,
76', Samoilovs B. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
86', Zanetti D. 🟨,
88', Derkach M. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
90', Hrvoj T. 🟨,
90+3', Vergara J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.

Tukums 2000 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Auda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Auda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
9	Tukums 2000	31	5	9	17	44:61	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
12.06.26	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Liepāja - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	RFS - Tukums 2000	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
15.05.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
13.06.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Auda Riga - Ogre United	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Auda Riga - RFS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
26.04.26	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	2:1
02.11.25	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	0:1
10.08.25	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	1:0
13.06.25	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	2:4
18.04.25	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	2:0
03.11.24	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	0:3
02.10.24	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	1:1

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