Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET VIRSLIGA - ROUND 33

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Super Nova		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	8.25	5	1.28
	8.5	5	1.3	Watch
	8.09	5.35	1.32
	8.09	5.35	1.3
	9	5	1.25
	8.5	5.25	1.26
	7.8	5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↑ (7.5)	5.14 ↑ (4.5)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
11%

Draw
17.8%

Valmiera
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

20.5%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

16.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmiera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Super Nova - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudrjavcevs V. (C) 23. Skrebels R. 3. Enyou A. 39. Prytykovsky D. 13. Ostapenko A. 24. Sprukulis K. 8. Williams G. 17. Terzi Y. 94. Patrikejevs I. 21. Ndjiki R. 99. Thon D.	1. Olses C. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 2. Balodis D. (C) 3. Sliede N. 27. Birka E. 34. Korobenko A. 99. Kayramani F. 17. Fall P. 7. Silva G. 22. Diop M. 75. Leo Gaucho
Substitutes
27. Cernovs A. 20. Godins K. 22. Jagodinskis R. 33. Soloha R. (G) 9. Visnakovs E.	8. Cudars K. 18. Dusaliejvs N. 37. Gonsalves T. 19. Gueye D. 26. Lauva K. (G) 33. Milchenko A. 15. Opanasenko Y. 28. Pulis I. 9. Ruan Ribeiro
Coaches
Korablovs I.	Kalns J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Valmiera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valmiera is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Super Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
08.10.23	Metta - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tukums 2000 - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.8 WTTLL
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
07.10.23	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Tukums 2000 - Valmiera	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Valmiera - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Liepāja - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
27.09.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	1:1
Latvian Cup
15.07.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	2:0
Latvian Virsliga
08.05.23	Valmiera - Super Nova	3:1
16.04.23	Super Nova - Valmiera	1:0
06.11.22	Super Nova - Valmiera	1:6
27.08.22	Valmiera - Super Nova	7:0
18.06.22	Valmiera - Super Nova	1:0

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