Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: CEPSUM Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	CBC Gem, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer, RDS App
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, SportsEngine Play


	Supra du Québec		HFX Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.75
	1.75	3.6	3.65
	1.74	4.28	3.98
	1.79	4.11	3.83	Watch
	1.66	4.2	3.9
	1.71	3.89	4.36	Watch
	1.77	3.75	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.96)	3.92 ↑ (3.57)	3.88 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Supra du Québec
52.9%

Draw
23.5%

HFX Wanderers
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

23.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Supra du Québec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Supra du Québec's performance.

HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supra du Québec than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Supra du Québec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HFX Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Supra du Québec - HFX Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milli J. (G) 2. Auguste C. 5. Ferdinand K. 4. Chretien M. 3. Lebeuf T. 6. Biello A. 8. El Kalkouli O. 7. Choiniere D. (C) 10. Rea S. 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 92. Santos N.	1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 16. Sow K. 33. Hassan I. A. 22. Zitman S. 5. Olguin L. 6. Callegari L. 23. Arilla M. 14. Bahamboula J. 8. Johnston I. (C)
Substitutes
49. Awonongbadje E. 99. Conde I. 80. Diop M. (G) 23. Fernandez Z. 9. Kwemi L. A. 24. Mlah S. 33. Sissoko A.	12. Astridge S. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 2. Linder F. 25. MacKenzie L. 27. Pierre N. 7. Telfer R. 17. Troisi F.
Coaches
Razzaghi N.	Sartini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
39', Auguste C. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Bahamboula J. ⚽, Hassan I. A. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Johnston I. ⚽, Callegari L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Auguste C. ↓, Awonongbadje E. ↑,
59', Brault-Guillard Z. ↓, Kwemi L. A. ↑,
59', Santos N. ↓, Conde I. ↑,
63', Zitman S. ↓, Telfer R. ↑,
73', Lebeuf T. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
73', El Kalkouli O. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
74', Arilla M. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
88', Johnston I. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
88', Olguin L. ↓, Linder F. ↑,
88', Bahamboula J. ↓, MacKenzie L. ↑,

Preview

Supra du Québec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HFX Wanderers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Supra du Québec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Supra du Québec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Supra du Québec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Supra du Quebec	25	9	4	12	38:45	-7	31
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38:42	-4	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Supra du Québec
Canadian Premier League
06.09.26	Vancouver FC - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
01.09.26	Supra du Québec - Forge	1:1 ✺
Canadian Premier League
28.08.26	Supra du Québec - Forge	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Inter Toronto - Supra du Québec	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Forge - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWTL
- HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
07.09.26	HFX Wanderers - Cavalry	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Inter Toronto - HFX Wanderers	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
24.07.26	HFX Wanderers - Supra du Québec	2:3
24.04.26	Supra du Québec - HFX Wanderers	2:1

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