Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	DAZN
Argentina	08:30	DAZN
Austria	13:30	DAZN
Bolivia	07:30	DAZN
Brazil	08:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	14:30	DAZN
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	13:30	DAZN
Cyprus	14:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	13:30	DAZN
Denmark	13:30	DAZN
Ecuador	06:30	DAZN
Finland	14:30	DAZN
France	13:30	DAZN France
Germany	13:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	14:30	DAZN
Hungary	13:30	DAZN
Italy	13:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Latvia	14:30	DAZN
Lithuania	14:30	DAZN
New Zealand	00:30	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	13:30	DAZN
Norway	13:30	DAZN
Paraguay	08:30	DAZN
Poland	13:30	DAZN
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	14:30	DAZN
Serbia	13:30	DAZN
Slovenia	13:30	DAZN
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	DAZN
Switzerland	13:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	19:30	DAZN
Turkey	14:30	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	14:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	12:30	DAZN
Uruguay	08:30	DAZN
Usa	07:30	DAZN USA
Venezuela	07:30	DAZN
International	11:30	DAZN National League


	Harrogate Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.50
	1.60	3.50	4.75
	1.65	3.70	4.80	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5.67
	1.73	3.77	4.4	Watch
	1.64	3.55	5.60
	1.69	3.84	4.61	Watch
	1.62	3.70	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	4.9 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
56%

Draw
25.1%

Sutton United
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Harrogate Town - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hutchinson L. (G) 15. Hobson B. (C) 16. Dreyer S. 4. Baptiste A. 24. Cass L. 11. McGowan W. 2. Payne L. 3. Bristow E. 19. Craig M. 23. Dolaghan B. 17. Hmami J.	1. Brits S. (G) 10. Carter C. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 27. Brookes B. 6. Bell C. 7. Osadebe E. 8. Taylor J. (C) 12. Urpens D. 20. Francis J. 9. Babalola T. 18. Ogbonna D.
Substitutes
6. Burrell W. 9. McCoulsky S. 35. McGuckin C. 18. Muldoon J. 21. Taylor E. 7. Thomson G. 30. Watson R. (G)	26. Amartey B. 11. Folarin S. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 19. Knight J. 14. Mussa O. 16. Njoku B. 3. Topalloj B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
27', McGowan W. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Hobson B. ⚽, Thomson G. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Hmami J. ⚽, Dolaghan B. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Thomson G. ⚽, Bristow E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Babalola T. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
46', Urpens D. ↓, Amartey B. ↑,
46', Ogbonna D. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
63', Moore-Taylor J. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
68', Bell C. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
68', Payne L. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
68', Dolaghan B. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
72', Hmami J. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Brookes B. ⚽, Folarin S. (A),
85', Thomson G. 🟨,
86', Taylor J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Semi - finals and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.

Harrogate arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sutton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sutton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Harrogate for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Harrogate in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:17 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Harrogate against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Harrogate	14	10	1	3	32:18	14	31
16	Sutton	14	5	3	6	15:21	-6	18

Outrights of English National League for now

Harrogate: 5.97% Sutton: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Harrogate Town - Bury	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Bury - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Woking - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Harrogate Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Sutton United
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Sutton United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Sutton United - West Bromwich Albion U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
09.10.26	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.04.24	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	2:2
30.01.24	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:2
28.01.23	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	0:1
03.09.22	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	2:1
07.05.22	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	0:2
English EFL Trophy
25.01.22	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:0
English League Two
18.12.21	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:0

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