The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutton United 43%
Draw 26.5%
Truro City 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.1%
25.6%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
25.7%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sutton United - Truro City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Osadebe E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Replayed if draw.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 3.
Sutton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Truro is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sutton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Sutton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sutton has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sutton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sutton United - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.09%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Truro City - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.28%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.