Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 15

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Wrexham		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.75	7
	1.35	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5.5	8	Watch
	1.35	5.67	7.89
	1.36	5.67	7.89
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.34	5.35	7.8	Watch
	1.34	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	5.49 ↑ (4.8)	7.65 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
70.4%

Draw
17.3%

Sutton United
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18.7%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 6. Tunnicliffe J. 15. O'Connell E. 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 30. Jones J. 12. Evans G. 7. Davies J. 10. Mullin P. (C) 9. Palmer O.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. (C) 24. Milsom R. 23. Jackson R. 16. Clay C. 8. N'Guessan C. 10. Beautyman H. 40. O'Brien A. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
18. Dalby S. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 19. Mendy J. 4. Tozer B. 8. Young L.	25. Arnold S. (G) 17. Bughail-Mellor D. 7. Coley J. 19. Fadahunsi T. 6. John L. 11. Patrick O. 18. Pereira D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Gray M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2.

Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sutton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

Recently Sutton have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
21.10.23	Bradford City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Wrexham - Salford City	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Crawley Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT
- Sutton United
English League Two
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Sutton United - Crawley Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Sutton United - Walsall	4:0 ✺
03.10.23	Sutton United - Salford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.03.21	Sutton United - Wrexham	0:0
24.11.20	Wrexham - Sutton United	4:0
21.12.19	Sutton United - Wrexham	3:1
14.09.19	Wrexham - Sutton United	1:1
19.04.19	Wrexham - Sutton United	1:0
22.09.18	Sutton United - Wrexham	3:0
17.02.18	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:1

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