Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wealdstone		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	2.08	3.55	3.1
	2.13	3.6	3.25
	1.96	3.56	3.50	Watch
	2.09	3.55	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
45.1%

Draw
26.3%

Sutton United
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Wealdstone - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 22. McAvoy C. 5. Woodman D. 15. Chinedu P. 4. Mussa O. 3. Georgiou A. 7. Boldewijn E. 10. Kretzschmar M. 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J. 9. Olomola O.	27. Reid T. (G) 24. Boutin N. 15. Tizzard W. 5. Phipps H. 8. Simper L. 28. Jennings K. 42. Muller H. 16. Taylor J. 17. Jones A. 10. Nadesan A. 23. Harris J. J.
Substitutes
16. Diarra M. 12. Graczyk H. (G) 11. Hassan S. 17. Hutchinson D. 8. Kadji D. 20. Tshikuna N. 24. Young-Coombes N.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 19. Crichlow K. 22. Dabre M. 26. Eccleston J. 34. Njoku B. 20. Wadham J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Kretzschmar M. 🟨,
15', Tiensia J. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Simper L. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Jennings K. ⚽, Simper L. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Obiero M. ⚽, Hassan S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, Hassan S. ⚽, Chinedu P. (A),
58', Olomola O. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
58', Kretzschmar M. ↓, Tshikuna N. ↑,
60', Harris J. J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, McAvoy C. ⚽, Hassan S. (A),
67', Woodman D. 🟨,
68', Phipps H. ↓, Crichlow K. ↑,
68', Jones A. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
72', Mussa O. ↓, Kadji D. ↑,
82', Kadji D. 🟨,
87', Taylor J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 2, Georgiou A. ⚽, Hassan S. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sutton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wealdstone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wealdstone won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Wealdstone - Nottingham Forest U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	York City - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Wealdstone - Whitstable Town	5:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Wealdstone - Altrincham	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTW
- Sutton United
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Sutton United - West Ham United U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Sutton United - Farnham Town	3:2 ET ✺
11.10.25	Farnham Town - Sutton United	3:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Braintree Town - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.01.25	Sutton United - Wealdstone	2:2
20.08.24	Wealdstone - Sutton United	0:1
20.02.21	Sutton United - Wealdstone	4:1
21.11.20	Wealdstone - Sutton United	3:3
English FA Cup
20.10.18	Wealdstone - Sutton United	1:2
English National League South
21.03.16	Wealdstone - Sutton United	0:2
29.08.15	Sutton United - Wealdstone	5:2

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