Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 18

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, National League TV
Usa	DAZN USA


	Sutton United		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.68
	1.9	3.79	3.63	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.86	3.66	3.68
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.99)	3.72 ↑ (3.48)	3.81 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
50.8%

Draw
24.9%

Maidenhead United
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Sutton United - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 7. Coley J. 9. Davies W. 4. French T. (C) 35. Kirk A. 24. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 19. Sivi J. 20. Wadham J. 18. Waller C.	13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
Substitutes
25. Arnold S. (G) 17. Boateng N. 15. Muller H. 3. Okoli C. 5. Ransom H. 10. Rush M. 12. Vaz E.	32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 7. Carvalho R. 20. Clerima R. 1. Collins H. (G) 29. Dundas J. 24. Massey A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Barbrook F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Latty-Fairweather T. 🟨,
74', Cochrane O. ↓, Clerima R. ↑,
83', Welch-Hayes M. ↓, Ajose J. ↑,
84', Sivi J. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
90+3', Coley J. ↓, Boateng N. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Maidenhead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Maidenhead have a series of home games.

In this match Sutton is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sutton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:22 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
09.11.24	Rochdale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Sutton United - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Braintree Town - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Sutton United - Gateshead	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sutton United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Maidenhead United
English National League
09.11.24	Maidenhead United - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
English National League Cup
05.11.24	Maidenhead United - Derby County U21	4:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Maidenhead United - Crawley Town	1:2 ET ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Yeovil Town - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.05.21	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	0:3
03.10.20	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	3:0
31.08.19	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	0:3
09.03.19	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	1:0
24.11.18	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	0:1
17.04.18	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	2:1
02.09.17	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	0:2

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