Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.7
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.45	3.25	2.72
	2.54	3.37	2.78
	2.71	2.76	2.91	Watch
	2.39	3.3	2.74
	2.37	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)	3.19 ↓ (3.49)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
37.5%

Draw
28.8%

Sutton United
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sutton United aligns with the current prediction.

Braintree Town - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terry M. (G) 17. Pinnington J. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 4. Langston G. 21. Clayton R. 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 16. Babic G. 11. Cooper C. 24. Terry F. 38. Works T. 14. Akinde J.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 17. Jones A. 15. Tizzard W. 16. Taylor J. 14. Pruti E. 23. Harris J. J. 8. Simper L. 22. Dabre M. 3. Vincent L. 10. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S.
Substitutes
7. Blackwell T. 33. Davis O. 19. Hockey F. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 39. Thorpe E. 9. Walker L.	37. Bell C. 24. Boutin N. 11. De Silva D. 26. Eccleston J. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Akinde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Odelusi S. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
56', Tizzard W. 🟨,
64', Vincent L. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
64', Works T. ↓, Blackwell T. ↑,
66', Dabre M. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
70', Bell C. 🟨,
74', Njoku B. 🟨,
79', Akinde J. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
86', Clayton R. ↓, Thorpe E. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 1.

In recent matches, Braintree has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sutton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Braintree won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Braintree Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League
30.09.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Braintree Town - Nottingham Forest U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLLWW
- Sutton United
English National League
30.09.25	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Woking - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
01.04.25	Braintree Town - Sutton United	0:1 penalties
English National League
22.02.25	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:1
26.10.24	Braintree Town - Sutton United	0:1
12.03.19	Sutton United - Braintree Town	0:3
27.11.18	Braintree Town - Sutton United	2:2
10.01.17	Braintree Town - Sutton United	1:0
13.09.16	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:2

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