Match Info

National League Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Sutton United		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.2
	1.82	3.7	4.66
	1.74	3.67	4.14	Watch
	1.77	3.88	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	3.71 ↓ (3.88)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sutton United
51.7%

Draw
25.1%

Leeds United U21
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

23.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sutton United - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Leeds U21 will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sutton United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 17. Boateng N. 9. Davies W. (C) 22. Jackson R. 15. Muller H. 24. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 5. Ransom H. 8. Simper L. 33. Topalloj B. 20. Wadham J.	1. Mahady R. (G) 10. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 8. Cresswell A. (C) 5. Debayo J. 2. Douglas C. 3. Ferguson C. 45. Gray H. 11. McDonald J. 4. Monteiro D. 6. Moore K. 9. Vincent H.
Substitutes
11. De Silva D. 4. French T. 31. Kerbey M. (G) 27. Tume V. 12. Vaz E. 30. Woodyard A.	. Bird C. 12. Grainger O. (G) 17. Lopata-White R. 14. Nfonkeu B. 7. Pickles O. 15. Richards J. . Snowdon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Monteiro D. ⚽, Douglas C. (A),
26', McDonald J. ↓, Pickles O. ↑,
35', Boateng N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Boateng N. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Gray H. ⚽, Chadwick-Chaplin R. (A),
61', Jackson R. ↓, French T. ↑,
76', Vincent H. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Simper L. ⚽,
78', Nadesan A. 🟨,
78', Ferguson C. 🟨,
78', Mahady R. 🟨,
86', Ferguson C. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
90+1', Chadwick-Chaplin R. 🟨,
90+4', Gray H. ↓, Nfonkeu B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Leeds U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sutton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
26.04.25	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Sutton United - Barnet	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ebbsfleet United - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
08.04.25	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTLW
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
13.04.25	Liverpool U21 - Leeds United U21	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Leeds United U21 - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
01.04.25	Altrincham - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
28.03.25	Leeds United U21 - Manchester United U21	2:2 ✺
17.03.25	Sunderland U21 - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWTL

Upcoming Matches