Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sutton United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.62
	4.65	3.95	1.62
	4.65	4.01	1.69
	4.65	4.04	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.65
	4.82	3.96	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (4.39)	3.94 ↑ (3.93)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
19.9%

Draw
23.6%

Rochdale
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Sutton United - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 42. Muller H. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 25. Taylor J. 37. Bell C. 8. Simper L. 26. Eccleston J. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D.	13. Winterbottom B. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 12. Hannant L. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 38. Smith T.
Substitutes
51. Byron T. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 9. Rodari D. 36. Urpens D.	30. Duku I. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 21. McBride C. 10. Rodney D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
49', Henderson I. 🟨,
58', Simper L. 🟨,
64', Barlow A. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
64', Smith T. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
66', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
71', Taylor J. 🟨,
71', Taylor J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
73', Pettit C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Bell C. ⚽, Harris J. J. (A),
82', Hannant L. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
87', Simper L. ↓, Rodari D. ↑,
87', Ogbonna D. ↓, Eze D. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Rodney D. ⚽, McBride C. (A),
90+2', Njoku B. ↓, Urpens D. ↑,
90+4', Muller H. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2.

Sutton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rochdale is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rochdale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
24.03.26	Eastleigh - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Sutton United - Truro City	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTWL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0
08.04.25	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0
09.11.24	Rochdale - Sutton United	2:1
English League Two
29.04.23	Rochdale - Sutton United	4:1
19.11.22	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0
05.03.22	Sutton United - Rochdale	3:0
23.10.21	Rochdale - Sutton United	3:2

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