The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 44.3%
Draw 26.4%
Sutton United 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
24.2%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
23.5%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sutton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Aldershot Town - Sutton United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 31. Sheckleford R. 15. Grogan C. 25. Nightingale W. 22. Scott O. 19. Hill R. (C) 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Peart B. 24. Warren C. 17. Henry J. 20. Stewart C.
1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 26. Eccleston J. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 23. Harris J. J. 25. Taylor J. 8. Simper L. 34. Njoku B. 37. Bell C. 18. Ogbonna D.
Substitutes
10. Barrett J. 23. Ghandour H. 33. Inwood S. 16. Nash P. (G) 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K. 6. Widdrington T.
51. Byron T. . Cashman D. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 9. Rodari D. . Ruiz Ortiz R. J. 36. Urpens D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Topalloj B. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Stewart C. ⚽, Sheckleford R. (A),
15', Eccleston J. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Hill R. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 2 - 1, Simper L. ⚽, Ogbonna D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Henry J. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
59', Sheckleford R. ↓, Widdrington T. ↑,
61', Harris J. J. ↓, Byron T. ↑,
62', Scott O. 🟨,
72', Scott O. 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Simper L. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Hill R. 🟨,
77', Bell C. 🟨,
77', Peart B. ↓, Inwood S. ↑,
86', Bell C. 🟨,
87', Ogbonna D. ↓, Ruiz Ortiz R. J. ↑,
88', Taylor J. 🟨,
90+1', Stewart C. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
90+1', Tetek D. ↓, Barrett J. ↑,
90+2', Njoku B. ↓, Rodari D. ↑,
90+5', Thomas K. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2.
Aldershot is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sutton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Aldershot is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Aldershot
13
5
3
5
18:16
2
18
13
Sutton
13
5
3
5
14:18
-4
18
Last Results with these Odds
Sutton United - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.