Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 1

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Notts County

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.85
	3.9	3.7	1.83
	4.4	3.75	1.65
	4.26	3.77	1.87
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	4.1	3.84	1.81	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.3)	3.75 ↓ (3.81)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
23.3%

Draw
24.8%

Notts County
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.4%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sutton United - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Notts County will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rose J. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. 24. Milsom R. 7. Coley J. 10. Beautyman H. 15. Eastmond C. 11. Patrick O. 9. Smith H. 20. Kashket S.	26. Stone A. (G) 4. Cameron K. (C) 5. Rawlinson C. 2. Brindley R. 10. Jones J. 16. Bostock J. 18. Palmer M. 11. Nemane A. 17. McGoldrick D. 6. O'Brien J. 9. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 25. Arnold S. (G) 8. Clay C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 6. John L. 29. Kasimu H. 44. O'Brien A.	21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 8. Austin S. 15. Baldwin A. 23. Chicksen A. 7. Crowley D. 19. Scott C. 1. Slocombe S. (G)
Coaches
Gray M.	Williams L.

Preview

Sutton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Notts County have a series of guest games.

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	Woking - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Farnborough - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
18.07.23	Sutton United - Millwall	0:3 ✺
15.07.23	Sutton United - Reading	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLW
- Notts County
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Shrewsbury Town - Notts County	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5 ✺
22.07.23	Boston United - Notts County	0:1 ✺
18.07.23	AFC Telford United - Notts County	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Notts County - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.05.21	Notts County - Sutton United	3:2
13.10.20	Sutton United - Notts County	0:1
07.12.19	Notts County - Sutton United	1:1
07.09.19	Sutton United - Notts County	1:1

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