The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 29.6%
Draw 29.1%
Notts County 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
28.1%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
27.3%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
21.4%
78.6%
Shrewsbury Town - Notts County Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cox M. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. (C) 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 10. Sang T. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G. 19. Morgan I.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 27. Tangen H. 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 11. Grant C. 19. Dennis M.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 7. McDermott T. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 26. Stubbs S.
22. Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 6. Hinchy J. 17. Kouhyar Q. 3. McDonald R. 39. Ndlovu L.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Perry T. ⚽,
57', Tangen H. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
58', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
58', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
63', Enoru B. 🟨,
71', Sang T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
71', Lloyd G. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
75', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
76', Norburn O. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
76', Morgan I. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
90+5', Macari L. 🟨,
90+5', Bedeau J. 🟨,
90+6', Norburn O. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3.
In recent matches, Shrewsbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Notts County is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Notts County - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.