Match Info

K League 1 - Round 14

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Suwon		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.52	3.36	2.94
	2.43	3.31	2.84	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.62	Watch
	2.48	3.34	2.84	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.64)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	2.78 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
37.8%

Draw
28.5%

Daejeon Citizen
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Daejeon Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Suwon - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Daejeon Citizen (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 2 - 50%). Daejeon Citizen (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 6. Choi Kyu-Baek (C) 20. Lee Ji-Sol 40. Kim Do-Yoon 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 7. Lee Jae-Won 21. Seo Jae-Min 97. Luan Dias 9. Sabbag P. 70. Anderson Oliveira	1. Lee Chang-Geun (C) 22. Oh Jae-Suk 5. Lim Jong-Eun 3. Ha Chang-Rae 24. Park Jin-Seong 77. Yoon D. 14. Kim Jun-Beom 44. Lee Soon-Min 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 10. Joo Min-Kyu 17. Choi Geon-Joo
Substitutes
30. Choi Chi-Ung 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 34. Jang Yun-Ho 19. Jung Seung-Bae 24. Kim J. 28. Kim Jae-Sung 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 33. Lee Taek-Geun 77. Ofkir M.	28. Calver A. 9. Gutkovskis V. 7. Ishida M. 6. Kang Yun-Sung 71. Kelvin 4. Kim Hyun-Woo 11. Kim In-Gyun 73. Lee Jun-Gyu 25. Lee Jun-Seo (G)
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ha Chang-Rae 🟨,
19', Roh Kyung-Ho 🟨,
41', Sabbag P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Yoon D. ↓, Ishida M. ↑,
46', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Kim J. ↑,
64', Kim Jun-Beom ↓, Kelvin ↑,
64', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
65', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Kim Jae-Sung ↑,
77', Roh Kyung-Ho ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Choi Kyu-Baek ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
86', Kim Hyeon-Ug ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
88', Sabbag P. ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
88', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Anderson Oliveira ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Anderson Oliveira ⚽,
90+5', Lee Soon-Min ↓, Lee Jun-Gyu ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.

Suwon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Daejeon Citizen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Daejeon Citizen has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Suwon - Gwangju	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
10.05.25	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Suwon - Daegu	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Gangwon - Suwon	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Suwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTL
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
10.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - Anyang	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.03.25	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:0
10.08.24	Suwon - Daejeon Citizen	1:2
29.06.24	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	0:2
14.04.24	Suwon - Daejeon Citizen	1:0
22.10.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:1
01.09.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	0:1
10.05.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	2:1

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