Match Info

K League 1 - Round 15

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Daejeon Citizen		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.68	3.1	2.52
	2.83	3.25	2.66
	2.78	3.01	2.64	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.75	3.1	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
33.9%

Draw
29.9%

FC Seoul
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan (C) 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 2. Park K. 30. Kim Bong-Soo 19. Seo Jin-Su 20. Lee H. 77. Joao Victor 99. Yu Kang-Hyun 17. Ludwigson G.	25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 27. Moon Seon-Min 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 34. Song Min-Kyu 10. Anderson Oliveira 11. Ruiz L.
Substitutes
27. Jeong Jae-Hee 10. Joo Min-Kyu 6. Kang Yun-Sung 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 13. Kim Jin-Ya 3. Kim Min-Duk 25. Lee Jun-Seo (G) 22. Oh Jae-Suk 8. Victor Bobsin	18. Cho Young-Wook 99. Gbato S. 41. Hwang Do-Yun 7. Jeong Seung-Won 20. Lee Han-Do 8. Lee Seung-Mo 1. Lim Jun-Sub (G) 40. Park Seong-hun 66. Park Soo-Il
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Anderson Oliveira ⚽, Ruiz L. (A),
43', Choi Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ludwigson G. ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
56', Lee H. 🟨,
56', Moon Seon-Min ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
66', Al Arab Y. 🟨,
69', Joao Victor ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
69', Babec H. ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽, Seo Jin-Su (A),
73', Yu Kang-Hyun ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
74', Lee H. ↓, Kim Min-Duk ↑,
85', Krivotsyuk A. 🟨,
86', Kim Bong-Soo ↓, Kang Yun-Sung ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Lee Seung-Mo ⚽, Jeong Seung-Won (A),
90+1', Kim Min-Duk 🟨,
90+2', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
90+5', Cho Young-Wook 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Citizen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43

Last Results with these Odds

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

FC Seoul - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.53%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
12.05.26	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTWW
- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
12.05.26	Gwangju - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	FC Seoul - Anyang	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.04.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	0:1
01.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	3:1
27.07.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:1
10.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:0
12.04.25	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
14.09.24	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	2:3
10.07.24	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	2:1

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