Match Info

K League 1 - Round 32

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Suwon		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.02
	3.44	3.76	2.12
	3.00	3.72	2.14	Watch
				Watch
	3.4	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.66)	3.59 ↓ (3.61)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
28.2%

Draw
26.2%

FC Seoul
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

26.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Suwon - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Seoul will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 3 - 50%). Seoul (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Seoul (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Seoul (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 6. Choi Kyu-Baek (C) 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 21. Seo Jae-Min 18. Han Chan-Hee 7. Lee Jae-Won 72. Lee S. 97. Luan Dias 16. Jo Joon-Hyeon 9. Sabbag P.	21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 63. Park Soo-Il 40. Park Seong-Hoon 20. Lee Han-Do 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 70. Anderson Oliveira 8. Lee Seung-Mo 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 7. Jeong Seung-Won 9. Cho Young-Wook 45. Dugandzic M.
Substitutes
94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 15. Andrigo 31. Baek Seung-min (G) 30. Choi Chi-Ung 13. Hwang In-Taek 22. Jang Young-Woo 40. Kim Do-Yoon 79. Kyeong-min K. 20. Lee Ji-Sol	11. Cheon Seong-Hoon 16. Choi Jun 41. Hwang Do-Yun 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 36. Kim J. 10. Lingard J. 77. Lucas Silva 27. Moon Seon-Min
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Luan Dias ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Cho Young-Wook ⚽, Jeong Seung-Won (A),
42', Kim Tae-Han 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jo Joon-Hyeon ↓, Kyeong-min K. ↑,
64', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
64', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Andrigo ↑,
68', Dugandzic M. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
70', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
73', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
75', Choi Kyu-Baek ↓, Lee Ji-Sol ↑,
83', Lee Hyeon-yong 🟨,
83', Kim Jin-Su ↓, Choi Jun ↑,
83', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑,
90+1', Lee S. ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Seoul could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:46. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Suwon - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 26.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
28.09.25	Jeju - Suwon	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Daegu - Suwon	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- FC Seoul
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	FC Seoul - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	FC Seoul - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	FC Seoul - Gwangju	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Gangwon - FC Seoul	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
24.05.25	FC Seoul - Suwon	1:1
08.03.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:0
26.10.24	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:1
29.09.24	FC Seoul - Suwon	1:0
22.06.24	FC Seoul - Suwon	3:0
30.04.24	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:2
29.10.23	Suwon - FC Seoul	3:4

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