Match Info

K League 1 - Round 30

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Suwon		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
				Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.22
	3.2	3.65	2.24
	3.58	3.32	2.04	Watch
	3.03	3.42	2.33	Watch
	2.78	3.51	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.25 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
30.4%

Draw
27.5%

Gangwon
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Suwon - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gangwon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gangwon (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 2. Lee Yong (C) 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 4. Kim Tae-Han 72. Lee S. 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 18. Han Chan-Hee 79. Kyeong-min K. 97. Luan Dias 15. Andrigo 9. Sabbag P.	21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 34. Song Jun-Seok 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 7. Kim Dae-Won 16. Kim Gun-Hee 70. Goo Bon-Cheul
Substitutes
94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 31. Baek Seung-min (G) 30. Choi Chi-Ung 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 22. Jang Young-Woo 16. Jo Joon-Hyeon 19. Jung Seung-Bae 40. Kim Do-Yoon 21. Seo Jae-Min	33. Hong Chul 8. Kang Y. 14. Kim Dae-Woo 27. Kim Do-Hyun 1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 39. Lee Ji-Ho 22. Lee Sang-Heon 24. Park H. 10. Vitor Gabriel
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Lee Gi-Hyuk 🟨,
41', Song Jun-Seok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Park H. ↑,
46', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Tuci M. (Own goal),
57', Lee Gi-Hyuk ↓, Hong Chul ↑,
61', Kyeong-min K. ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
70', Roh Kyung-Ho ↓, Jo Joon-Hyeon ↑,
70', Andrigo ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑,
81', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
87', Luan Dias ↓, Choi Kyu-Baek ↑,
87', Sabbag P. ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
90', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
90+4', Hwang Jae-yun 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.

Suwon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gangwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gangwon has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
14.09.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Daegu - Suwon	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Gangwon - FC Seoul	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
27.08.25	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
23.08.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
28.06.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:2
03.05.25	Gangwon - Suwon	0:0
09.11.24	Suwon - Gangwon	4:0
01.09.24	Gangwon - Suwon	2:2
15.06.24	Gangwon - Suwon	3:1
05.05.24	Suwon - Gangwon	1:2
25.11.23	Gangwon - Suwon	2:0

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