Match Info

K League 1 - Round 31

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
South-korea	Coupang Play, Star Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Jeju		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.45	Watch
				Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.45
	2.74	3.59	2.57
	4.23	4.22	1.68	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.61)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
32.6%

Draw
26.4%

Suwon
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Jeju - Suwon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jeju (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Suwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 23. Rim Chang-Woo 26. Lim Chai-Min 4. Song Ju-Hun 13. Jeong Woon 18. Oh Jae-Hyeok 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 5. Italo 40. Kim Ryun-Seong 9. Yuri Tanque 10. Nam Tae-Hee	1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 2. Lee Yong (C) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 72. Lee S. 18. Han Chan-Hee 7. Lee Jae-Won 79. Kyeong-min K. 97. Luan Dias 15. Andrigo 9. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 22. An Tae-Hyun 3. Jang M. 2. Kim Jae-Woo 6. Kim Jung-Min 37. Kwon Sun-ho 14. Pedrinho 19. Shin Sang-Eun 7. Tiago Alves	94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 31. Baek Seung-min (G) 30. Choi Chi-Ung 22. Jang Young-Woo 16. Jo Joon-Hyeon 40. Kim Do-Yoon 4. Kim Tae-Han 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 21. Seo Jae-Min
Coaches
Kim Hak-Bum	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Sabbag P. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Yuri Tanque ⚽, Rim Chang-Woo (A),
36', Song Ju-Hun 🟥,
39', 1 - 2, Sabbag P. (Pen),
45+4', Kim Dong-Jun 🟨,
45+7', 2 - 2, Nam Tae-Hee ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kyeong-min K. ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
46', Jeong Woon ↓, Jang M. ↑,
51', 2 - 3, Lee Jae-Won ⚽,
54', Rim Chang-Woo ↓, An Tae-Hyun ↑,
54', Oh Jae-Hyeok ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
68', Andrigo ↓, Jo Joon-Hyeon ↑,
68', Lee Hyeon-yong ↓, Kim Tae-Han ↑,
72', Jo Joon-Hyeon 🟨,
74', Luan Dias ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑,
79', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Kim Jae-Woo ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Shin Sang-Eun ⚽,
86', Lee Chang-Min 🟨,
88', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
88', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Kim Jung-Min ↑,
90+2', An Tae-Hyun 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 4, Choi Chi-Ung ⚽,
90+9', Kim Dong-Jun 🟨,
90+13', An Tae-Hyun 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 3.

Jeju is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Suwon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Jeju - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Suwon - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
21.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Jeju - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Daegu - Jeju	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jeju - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
21.09.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Daegu - Suwon	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
27.05.25	Suwon - Jeju	0:1
30.03.25	Jeju - Suwon	1:0
25.08.24	Suwon - Jeju	5:0
26.05.24	Jeju - Suwon	1:0
20.04.24	Suwon - Jeju	2:1
02.12.23	Suwon - Jeju	1:1
12.08.23	Jeju - Suwon	4:0

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