Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Suwon World Cup Stadium (Suwon)


	Suwon Bluewings		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
	2.8	2.95	2.6
	2.7	3.15	2.55
	2.82	3.3	2.71
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.74	3.32	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
34.3%

Draw
29.6%

Gimcheon Sangmu
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suwon Bluewings's form might have worsened.

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon Bluewings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	62.5%	18.7%

Suwon Bluewings - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon Bluewings won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
16.07.22	Ulsan HD - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	Pohang Steelers - Suwon Bluewings	1:0 ✺
06.07.22	Suwon Bluewings - Daegu	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.06.22	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon Bluewings	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
16.07.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
08.07.22	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:2 ✺
05.07.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	4:0 ✺
02.07.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
26.06.22	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
17.05.22	Suwon Bluewings - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 penalties
South Korean K-League 1
02.04.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon Bluewings	1:1
04.09.20	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon Bluewings	1:0
28.06.20	Suwon Bluewings - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1
30.11.19	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon Bluewings	4:1
21.09.19	Suwon Bluewings - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1

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