Match Info

K League 2 - Round 16

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Suwon World Cup Stadium (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV


	Suwon Bluewings		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.62	3.25	2.45
	3.13	3.35	2.4
	2.64	3.37	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.9	3.38	2.26	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)	3.29 ↓ (3.29)	2.4 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
33.5%

Draw
28%

Incheon United
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Hyung-Mo (C) 32. Jeong Dong-yun 90. Hwang Seok-Ho 4. Leo Andrade 23. Lee Ki-Je 6. Choi Young-Jun 11. Paulo Henrique 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 70. Matheus Serafim 9. Ilyuchenko S. 71. Kim Ji-ho	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 23. Park Kyung-sub 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 6. Mun Ji-Hwan 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho
Substitutes
74. Bruno Costa 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 7. Kim Hyun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 3. Ko Jong-hyun 17. Lee Min-Hyuk	20. Delbridge H. 27. Kim Bo-Sub 19. Kim Min-Seog 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Coaches
Byun Sung-Hwan	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Park Seung-Ho ⚽, Gerso (A),
19', Kim Ji-ho ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
45+1', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Choi Young-Jun ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Park Seung-Ho ⚽, Barrow M. (A),
55', Matheus Serafim ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
59', Kim Myung-Sun 🟨,
62', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Kim Ji-Hyun ⚽,
71', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,
71', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
73', Lee Ki-Je ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
73', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Hyun ↑,
82', Kim Bo-Sub 🟨,
85', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,
85', Gerso ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
90+1', Park Ho-Min 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 1.

Suwon Bluewings is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Incheon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Incheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon Bluewings won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
06.06.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Suwon Bluewings - Bucheon	4:1 ✺
25.05.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
11.05.25	Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
08.06.25	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
25.05.25	Incheon United - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
01.03.25	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	2:0
South Korean K-League 1
30.09.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	2:0
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	3:2
South Korean K-League 1
11.06.23	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	0:0
05.05.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	0:1
11.09.22	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	3:3
03.07.22	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	0:0

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