Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Suwon Bluewings		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.65	Watch
	5	3.75	1.62
	5.2	3.55	1.6	Watch
	4.7	3.7	1.65
	5.55	3.83	1.68
	5.25	3.6	1.67	Watch
	5.65	3.55	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (5.05)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
18.1%

Draw
25.2%

Guangzhou Evergrande
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.8%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

15.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon Bluewings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	3.6%	64.3%

Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 46.6% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Suwon Bluewings is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon Bluewings won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
31.10.20	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
23.10.20	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Suwon Bluewings - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
12.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
02.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	3:1 ✺
28.10.20	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
21.10.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Hebei CFFC	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
09.05.17	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suwon Bluewings	2:2
01.03.17	Suwon Bluewings - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2

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