Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Suzhou Dongwu		Beijing Sport University

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.6	5.75
	1.36	5.25	5.5
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.43	4.83	6.64
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.39	4.7	6.7
	1.41	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	4.61 ↑ (4.55)	6.13 ↓ (8.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
65.3%

Draw
19.8%

Beijing Sport University
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.9%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.9%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Beijing Sport University has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Sport University than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Sport University Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Beijing Sport Uni will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suzhou Dongwu: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Suzhou Dongwu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beijing Sport University is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Suzhou Dongwu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Suzhou Dongwu is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Suzhou Dongwu to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
30.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Kunshan - Suzhou Dongwu	0:2 ✺
22.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Zibo Cuju	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuhan	3:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WWWWL
- Beijing Sport University FC
Chinese Jia League
30.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Kunshan	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Sport University	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Beijing Sport University	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.11.22	Beijing Sport University - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2
18.12.21	Beijing Sport University - Suzhou Dongwu	2:3
04.12.21	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Sport University	2:2

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