Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Swieqi United		Qrendi

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.69	4.27	3.84
	1.65	3.74	4.45
	1.65	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	3.86 ↑ (3.61)	4.46 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swieqi United
56.1%

Draw
23.5%

Qrendi
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Qrendi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qrendi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 18 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Swieqi United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Qrendi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qrendi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swieqi United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swieqi United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Swieqi United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
07.11.22	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Swieqi United - Sliema Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Swieqi United	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Swieqi United - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Attard - Swieqi United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLL
- Qrendi FC
Maltese Challenge League
06.11.22	Qrendi - Lija Athletic	3:3 ✺
02.11.22	Melita - Qrendi	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Qrendi - San Ġwann	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Mqabba - Qrendi	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Qrendi - Zejtun Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
12.03.22	Qrendi - Swieqi United	1:1
03.12.21	Swieqi United - Qrendi	1:3
06.01.21	Qrendi - Swieqi United	0:5
01.03.20	Qrendi - Swieqi United	3:1
11.10.19	Swieqi United - Qrendi	1:3

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