Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Swieqi United		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.6	2.85	Watch
	2.05	3.85	2.94
	2	3.58	3.14
	2.05	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.17)	3.68 ↑ (3.44)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swieqi United
44.4%

Draw
24.8%

Santa Lucia
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Swieqi United - Santa Lucia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swieqi United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Debattista J. C. (C) 5. Abela D. 19. Brafo B. 8. Fenech P. 13. Mallia J. 7. Mattocks L. 3. Morales J. 14. Pisani N. 10. Schembri Wismayer A. 6. Spiteri M. 80. Vella T.	13. Farrugia C. (G) 19. Asante E. 23. Bajada J. 15. Bradshaw A. 42. Hanan B. 7. Legault W. 5. Nicholl J. 8. Ojo T. 9. Salis I. 74. Vella A. 16. Vella M. (C)
Substitutes
96. Agius D. 26. Ellul Ruggier K. (G) 9. Katanic A. 77. Magri S. 21. Micallef M. 4. Muscat K. 22. Reyes N. 17. Siaw S. 18. Vella J.	24. Agius S. 14. Bajada J. 27. Borg A. 1. Buhagiar M. (G) 21. Mangion D. 45. Mawuena S. 2. Polidano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Vella A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Spiteri M. ↓, Agius D. ↑,
46', Salis I. ↓, Mawuena S. ↑,
46', Legault W. ↓, Borg A. ↑,
62', Vella T. ↓, Siaw S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Schembri Wismayer A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Mawuena S. ⚽,
72', Mattocks L. ↓, Muscat K. ↑,
72', Mallia J. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
75', Debattista J. C. 🟥,
76', Abela D. ↓, Ellul Ruggier K. ↑,
79', Schembri Wismayer A. 🟨,
81', Hanan B. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Micallef M. ⚽,
90+3', Micallef M. 🟨,

Preview

Swieqi United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swieqi United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Swieqi United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Swieqi United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
05.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Swieqi United - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
05.04.25	Santa Lucia - Valletta	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Santa Lucia - Marsa	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
14.04.19	Santa Lucia - Swieqi United	3:1
15.12.18	Swieqi United - Santa Lucia	2:2

Swieqi United - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide