Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Salisbury		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.9
	1.87	3.75	3.4
	1.9	4.01	3.35
	2.05	3.89	3.07
	1.91	3.66	3.33
	1.87	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
47.5%

Draw
24.3%

Merthyr Town
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

24.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 1.

Recent matches Salisbury is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merthyr is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salisbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Salisbury will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salisbury - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Bracknell Town - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWL
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
14.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Merthyr Town - Bracknell Town	2:3 ✺
06.02.24	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.12.23	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	2:1
28.01.23	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	5:0
13.09.22	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	1:2
02.04.22	Merthyr Town - Salisbury	5:0
16.11.21	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	2:0
29.09.20	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	Canceled
07.03.20	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	2:1

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