Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.63
	4.08	4.19	1.68
	4.3	3.98	1.66
	4.2	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.66)	4.04 ↑ (3.6)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
22.1%

Draw
22.6%

Truro City
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

24.7%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Gosport Borough - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 2.

Recent matches Gosport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gosport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gosport won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
08.02.23	Gosport Borough - Weston-super-Mare	0:4 ✺
04.02.23	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Gosport Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	3:2 ✺
14.01.23	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWWL
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
04.02.23	Truro City - Yate Town	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Truro City - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Hendon - Truro City	2:2 ✺
02.01.23	Truro City - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.09.22	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0
19.02.22	Gosport Borough - Truro City	1:1
23.10.21	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:2
08.02.20	Gosport Borough - Truro City	1:0
14.09.19	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0
English National League South
21.02.17	Truro City - Gosport Borough	2:0
09.08.16	Gosport Borough - Truro City	3:1

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