The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 26.2%
Draw 27.4%
Swindon Town 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
26.5%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
24.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marosi M. (G) 30. McGowan A. 28. Negru S. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 8. Finley S. (C) 42. Kenneh N. 24. Blacker B. 17. Solomon S. 29. Ironside J. 7. Whitaker C.
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 17. Tafazolli R. 26. Batty J. 18. Kilkenny G. 31. Bodin B. 25. Borland A. 44. Oldaker D. 24. Holman F. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 23. Bristow E. 16. Lowe J. 2. Norman C. 32. Obiero Z. 11. Patrick O. 41. Woolery K.
30. Hoilett J. 34. Kirkman B. 33. McGregor J. 7. Nichols T. 29. Olakigbe M. 28. Palmer O. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Wild P.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', McGowan A. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
63', Whitaker C. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
67', Kilkenny G. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
67', Bodin B. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
69', Solomon S. 🟨,
75', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
84', Blacker B. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
85', Solomon S. ↓, Woolery K. ↑,
89', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
90', Ironside J. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Hoilett J. ⚽, Olakigbe M. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
Tranmere is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Clarke O.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Olakigbe M.
(Inactive)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Dennis K.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Swindon: 0.84% Tranmere: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Tranmere
10
2
6
2
13:13
0
12
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.64%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
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Marosi M. (G) 
McGowan A. 
Negru S. 
Kenneh N. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Bodin B. 
Borland A. 
Bristow E. 
Obiero Z. 
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