The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney FC 39.4%
Draw 27.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
25.7%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
25.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney FC's form might have worsened.
Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Robertson T. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 2. Ayson M. 16. Pearson W. 5. Fenton K. 8. Lowry H. 14. Lemon A. 21. Hunter S. (C) 7. Cassar A. 13. Tanner R. 9. Ulkekul J.
20. Khamis S. (G) 4. Hooks P. 7. Harrison A. (C) 3. Ying Wang 14. Buchanan E. 37. Harada E. 6. Chessari A. 11. Matos D. 25. Caspers H. 10. Yuan C. 19. Younis T.
Substitutes
17. Corbett C. 31. Fante S. (G) 19. Halmarick S. 15. Hawkesby M. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 23. Sullivan R.
5. Bennett A. 22. Cerne A. 12. Edwards B. (G) 24. Fazzari N. 17. Ng-Saad A. 15. Rue C.
Coaches
Juric A.
Abrahams G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Tanner R. ⚽, Ulkekul J. (A),
44', Caspers H. ↓, Ng-Saad A. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Chessari A. ⚽, Harada E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cassar A. ↓, Hawkesby M. ↑,
53', Hunter S. ↓, Corbett C. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Ng-Saad A. ⚽,
62', Lemon A. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
67', Fenton K. ↓, Sullivan R. ↑,
68', Tanner R. 🟨,
70', 1 - 3, Yuan C. ⚽, Younis T. (A),
75', Hawkesby M. 🟨,
76', Yuan C. ↓, Rue C. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Luchtmeijer A. ⚽, Corbett C. (A),
90+6', Younis T. ↓, Fazzari N. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.
Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
WS Wanderers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
WS Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:10. (average 2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 2.1:0.3).