Match Info

A-League Women - Round 11

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Wanderers Football Park (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Canberra United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	3.75	1.6	Watch
	4.97	4.31	1.59	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.62
	4.93	3.72	1.59	Watch
	6	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.87)	3.84 ↓ (3.88)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
18.3%

Draw
23.8%

Canberra United
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Sydney Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Canberra United (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Canberra United will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Khamis S. (G) 11. Matos D. 22. Cerne A. 3. Ying Wang 14. Buchanan E. 37. Harada E. 6. Chessari A. 66. Berryhill C. 7. Harrison A. (C) 19. Younis T. 17. Ng-Saad A.	1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 28. Bertolissio T. 11. Robers E. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 19. Dale S. 33. Sasaki N. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
Substitutes
5. Bennett A. 12. Edwards B. (G) 4. Hooks P. 9. Kim Soe-Un 8. Price O. 10. Yuan C.	13. Christopherson S. 7. Hawkins E. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
Coaches
Abrahams G.	Jagarinec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Anton E. ⚽, Sasaki N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dale S. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
60', Berryhill C. ↓, Yuan C. ↑,
63', Buchanan E. 🟨,
65', Ng-Saad A. ↓, Kim Soe-Un ↑,
65', Sasaki N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
65', Taylor-Young H. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
65', Buchanan E. ↓, Price O. ↑,
65', Chessari A. ↓, Bennett A. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Bennett A. ⚽, Yuan C. (A),
74', Aulicino J. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
74', Robers E. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
77', Cerne A. ↓, Hooks P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 1.

WS Wanderers has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Canberra United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

WS Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Canberra United is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, WS Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, WS Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.4:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Western Sydney Wanderers - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 24.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
30.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	5:2 ✺
14.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
27.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Canberra United	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Canberra United - Melbourne City	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
19.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:3
18.01.25	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
13.03.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	4:1
08.03.24	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
12.03.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:1
24.02.23	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0
15.02.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	0:5

Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide