Match Info

A-League Women - Round 12

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney)

Referee: Lee L. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Sydney FC		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.52
	2.49	3.72	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.38
	2.68	3.57	2.4	Watch
	2.54	3.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.73)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC
36.2%

Draw
26.6%

Adelaide United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Sydney FC - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Adelaide United will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinz H. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 5. Fenton K. 16. Pearson W. 14. Lemon A. 21. Hunter S. (C) 8. Lowry H. 32. Galic B. 7. Cassar A. 19. Halmarick S. 9. Ulkekul J.	30. Melegh I. (G) 2. Hodgson E. 3. McNamara M. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 17. Tolland Z. 9. Zois P. 6. Taranto M. 15. Taranto A. 22. Healy E. 8. Condon E. 10. Dawber C.
Substitutes
2. Ayson M. 17. Corbett C. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 30. Robertson T. (G) 23. Sullivan R. 13. Tanner R.	11. Hodgson I. 21. Jenkins C. (G) 7. Makris E. 5. Morgan S. 4. Murray H. 23. Worts F.
Coaches
Juric A.	Tsiounis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Tonkin E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Taranto M. ↓, Worts F. ↑,
63', Fenton K. 🟨,
72', Ulkekul J. ↓, Tanner R. ↑,
78', Taranto A. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
90', Dawber C. ↓, Murray E. ↑,
90', Condon E. ↓, Morgan S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.

Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Adelaide United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
04.01.26	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	7:0 ✺
10.12.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW
- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
08.11.25	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	0:0
18.04.25	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	2:1
31.01.25	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	2:3
24.03.24	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	3:0
18.11.23	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	1:3
25.03.23	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	3:0
20.11.22	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	1:0

Sydney FC - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide