Match Info

A-League Women - Round 16

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Sydney FC		Canberra United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3.4	1.88	Watch
	3.76	3.76	1.96
	3.65	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.85
	3.58	3.68	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.25)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC
25.7%

Draw
25.7%

Canberra United
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

24.8%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydney FC - Canberra United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinz H. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 2. Ayson M. 5. Fenton K. 23. Sullivan R. 15. Hawkesby M. (C) 7. Cassar A. 32. Galic B. 24. Tallon-Henniker C. 9. Ulkekul J. 17. Corbett C.	1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 11. Robers E. 33. Sasaki N. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 7. Hawkins E. 28. Bertolissio T. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
Substitutes
19. Halmarick S. 14. Lemon A. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 16. Pearson W. 30. Robertson T. (G) 13. Tanner R.	13. Christopherson S. 19. Dale S. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
Coaches
Slaveski J.	Jagarinec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Gordon B. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Ayson M. ⚽, Hawkesby M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cassar A. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
46', Sullivan R. ↓, Pearson W. ↑,
59', Corbett C. ↓, Tanner R. ↑,
62', Fenton K. 🟥,
69', Robers E. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
69', Sasaki N. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
69', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Lemon A. ↑,
75', Grove S. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
82', Hawkesby M. 🟨,
82', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
85', Ulkekul J. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Stanic-Floody M. ⚽,
90', Hinz H. 🟨,
90+1', Stanic-Floody M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.

Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Canberra United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Canberra United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 3.1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
04.02.26	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3 ✺
28.01.26	Perth Glory - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Sydney FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTL
- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
31.01.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Canberra United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
10.12.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:0
22.03.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	0:1
15.01.25	Sydney FC - Canberra United	2:0
27.03.24	Canberra United - Sydney FC	1:0
03.01.24	Sydney FC - Canberra United	1:1
11.02.23	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:1
15.01.22	Sydney FC - Canberra United	6:0

Sydney FC - Canberra United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide