Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 10

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.45	Watch
	7	3.9	1.49
	6	3.8	1.45
	7.36	3.84	1.51
	7.5	3.5	1.44
	6.85	3.94	1.48
	6.6	3.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (4.2)	3.8 ↑ (3)	1.47 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
13.3%

Draw
24.1%

São Paulo
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

30.2%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

29.2%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	4.3%	78.3%

São Bento - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

São Bento has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.02.23	Botafogo SP - São Bento	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	São Bento - Guarani	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santos - São Bento	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	São Bernardo - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.23	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	5:1 ✺
12.02.23	São Paulo - Santos	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Santo André - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.19	São Paulo - São Bento	1:0
17.01.18	São Bento - São Paulo	2:0
21.02.17	São Paulo - São Bento	3:2
10.04.16	São Bento - São Paulo	1:0
12.03.15	São Paulo - São Bento	1:0

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