Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	São Bernardo		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.75	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.26	5.41
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.68	3.28	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	4.84 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
53.4%

Draw
27.8%

Brusque
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

30.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

São Bernardo - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 22. Alex Reinaldo 6. Arthur Henrique 3. Helder Maciel 14. Itambe 9. Joao Carlos 16. Luiz Filipe 4. Matheus Salustiano 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 17. Romisson 88. Silvinho	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 6. Airton 10. Dentinho 11. Diego Tavares 2. Everton Alemao 33. Madison 9. Olavio 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 20. Toty 77. Wagner Balotelli 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
95. Alef 11. Allanzinho 5. Biazus E. 20. Bruno Michel 18. Bruno Santos 26. Davi Gabriel 30. Guilherme Paraiba 55. Henrique Lordelo 21. Hugo Sanchez 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus 10. Matheus Oliveira	66. Alex Ruan 21. Danilo Belao 27. Diego Mathias 7. Everton Bala 17. Guilherme Queiroz 22. Iran 8. Jhemerson 18. Pedro Henrique 88. Rodrigo 47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 29. Thiaguinho

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Brusque is Qualified for Serie B

São Bernardo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brusque is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	São Bernardo - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	4:3 ✺
09.09.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brusque	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
09.09.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0
31.07.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	0:0

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