Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Silva M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	São Bernardo		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	2.90	3.25	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.28	Watch
	3.08	3.6	2.4
	3.06	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.08	3.09	2.38
	3	3.25	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.23)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.31 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
30.8%

Draw
28.6%

CRB Maceio
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

São Bernardo - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 3. Helder Maciel 35. Jemerson 90. Luizao 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 8. Foguinho (C) 26. Dudu Miraima 33. Mario Sergio 10. Fabricio Daniel 29. Pedrinho 9. Felipe Garcia	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael
Substitutes
30. Breninho 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 31. Lucas Fernandes 14. Lucas Lima 77. Marcao Silva 6. Para 11. Pedro Vitor 17. Romisson	7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 18. Geovane 44. Henri 9. Joao Neto 36. Lucas Lovat 50. Luizao 12. Matheus Albino (G) 34. Ruy 20. Vinicius Barata 95. Ygor Catatau
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Helder Maciel ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Thiaguinho ⚽, Dada Belmonte (A),
59', 1 - 1, Jemerson ⚽, Dudu Miraima (A),
60', Foguinho ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
60', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
60', Rodrigo Ferreira ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽,
76', Danielzinho ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
76', Reverson ↓, Lucas Lovat ↑,
76', Bressan 🟨,
76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Romisson ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
83', Thiaguinho ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
87', Alex Alves 🟨,
89', Dada Belmonte ↓, Ygor Catatau ↑,
89', Pedro Castro ↓, Geovane ↑,
90+4', Vinicius Bergantin 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 7th).

São Bernardo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

CRB has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, São Bernardo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.63%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	São Bernardo - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	América Mineiro - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	São Bernardo - Londrina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWLW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.26	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3

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