Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: dos Santos Queiroz G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.25
	1.42	4	7
	1.43	4.01	7.55
	1.44	4.02	7.55
	1.36	3.9	7
	1.41	3.94	7.48	Watch
	1.42	3.95	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	7.12 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
64.2%

Draw
23%

Sampaio Corrêa
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: São Bernardo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (C) 6. Arthur Henrique 97. Augusto 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 99. Kayke 31. Lucas Lima 7. Lucas Tocantins 14. Luiz Filipe 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson	1. Felipe (G) 3. Betao 9. Bruno Baio 7. Escuro 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 10. Gabriel Silva 5. Gazao 20. Nadson Mesquita 11. Pimentinha 2. Rafael Luiz 6. Thiago Rosa
Substitutes
26. Davi Gabriel 29. Hannyel K. 9. Joao Carlos 11. Joao Diogo 43. Joao Ramos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 75. Maycon Douglas 20. Nycollas 88. Silvinho 10. Vitinho Mesquita 18. Wendell 23. Wesley Dias	21. Breno Almeida 32. Carlos Eduardo (G) 8. Ferreira 14. Itambe 18. Joao Felipe 23. Lucas Lopes 16. Marcelinho 15. Mauricio Maranhao 13. Onwudiwe F. 19. Renan Gorne 17. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Ze Augusto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Augusto 🟨,
41', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Romisson ↓, Davi Gabriel ↑,
46', Augusto ↓, Vitinho Mesquita ↑,
59', Escuro ↓, Mauricio Maranhao ↑,
59', Luiz Filipe ↓, Silvinho ↑,
68', Alex Alves 🟨,
69', Bruno Baio ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
78', Kayke ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
80', Gazao ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
81', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
81', Pimentinha ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
90+2', Rafael Luiz 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

São Bernardo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Bernardo is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
09.06.24	Remo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
02.06.24	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Londrina - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Aparecidense - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.06.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Caxias	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
29.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

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