Match Info
Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Gonçalo |
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
6 |
3.8 |
1.48 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
1.55 |
|
 |
5.94 |
3.89 |
1.52 |
|
 |
5.6 |
3.92 |
1.53 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.35 ↑
(4.68) |
3.78 ↑
(3.76) |
1.53 ↓
(1.58) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Gonçalo
16.9% | Draw
23.9% | Nova Iguaçu
59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca B1 (First stage to Play Offs)). São Gonçalo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Nova Iguaçu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). In this match Nova Iguaçu is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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