The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 47.6%
Draw 28.9%
Ituano 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
26.7%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
27.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
Ponte Preta - Ituano Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ituano will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Igor Inocencio 13. Joilson 3. Edson Rogerio 33. Risso G. 80. Hudson 15. Castro 10. Elvis 11. Iago Dias 35. Gabriel Novaes 7. Dodo
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Marcinho 4. Guilherme Mariano 3. Claudinho (C) 6. Richard 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Jose Aldo 11. Bruno Xavier 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva
19. Alvaro 20. Eduardo Person 14. Erik 23. Gabriel Falcao 16. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Duarte 22. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 21. Neto Berola 17. Pablo 1. Saulo (G) 18. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Baptista N.
Alberto Valentim
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bruno Xavier ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Iago Dias ⚽, Dodo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hudson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Bruno Xavier (A),
64', Iago Dias ↓, Kaue ↑,
64', Edson Rogerio ↓, Nilson Junior ↑,
64', Dodo ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
68', Jefferson Paulino ↓, Saulo ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Jose Aldo (A),
68', Castro ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Vinicius Paiva (A),
83', Bruno Xavier ↓, Leozinho ↑,
83', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
84', Emerson Santos 🟨,
84', Jose Aldo ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
85', Richard ↓, Leo Duarte ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1.
Ponte Preta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Ponte Preta is a favorite.
There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton Brito
(Injury)
Jean Carlos
(Injury)
Sergio Raphael
(Red Card)
There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz
(Injury)
Lipe
(Injury)
Madison
(Injury)
Salatiel
(Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Injury)
Ze Eduardo
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.
Brazil
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Risso G. 
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