Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Dias Araujo V. G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Palmeiras		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.23	6	13
	1.2	6	15	Watch
	1.21	5.5	15.5
	1.19	5.74	12.92
	1.14	5.5	15
	1.19	5.9	13.9	Watch
	1.2	5.4	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)	5.76 ↑ (4.93)	13.92 ↑ (9.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
77.3%

Draw
16.1%

Ituano
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

18.8%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

18.1%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palmeiras - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 5. Moreno A. 8. Ze Rafael 13. Luan 15. Gomez G. 22. Joaquin Piquerez 23. Raphael Veiga 26. Murilo 27. Rios R. 42. Flaco Lopez	12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Leo Oliveira 3. Joao Vialle 4. Vitao 5. Jose Aldo 6. Marlinho 7. Thonny Anderson 8. Yann Rolim 9. Matheus Cadorini 10. Eduardo Person 11. Matheus Maia
Substitutes
19. Breno Lopes 16. Caio Paulista 41. Estevao 35. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Menino 32. Garcia 40. Jhon Jhon 31. Luis Guilherme 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 34. Naves 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan	21. Felipe Fonseca 16. Jonathan Vieira 20. Kaique Clemente 13. Leo Duarte 14. Marcel Scalese 18. Miqueias 17. Pablo 23. Richard 19. Salatiel 15. Vinicius Poz 1. Wesley Borges (G) 22. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Marcinho

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 5.

Palmeiras is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ituano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Supercopa do Brasil
04.02.24	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Palmeiras - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWT
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
01.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ituano - Guarani	0:3 ✺
24.01.24	Ituano - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	São Bernardo - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.03.23	Palmeiras - Ituano	1:0
25.01.23	Ituano - Palmeiras	1:3
23.03.22	Palmeiras - Ituano	2:0
22.01.20	Ituano - Palmeiras	0:4
27.02.19	Palmeiras - Ituano	3:2
11.03.18	Ituano - Palmeiras	0:3
12.02.17	Ituano - Palmeiras	1:0

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