Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday


	Santa Cruz-RS		Avenida

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	3	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.52	2.89	2.45
	2.98	2.78	2.61
	2.75	2.88	2.4
	2.88	2.95	2.51	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz-RS
32.5%

Draw
31.3%

Avenida
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Santa Cruz RS - Avenida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo Pitol (C) 4. Alagoano A. 5. Amaral 8. Daniel Pereira 9. Eduardo Junior 7. Jean Lucca 3. Jefferson 2. Marcos Martins 11. Tcharles 6. Thiago Sales 10. William Bartholdy	1. Ruan Carneiro (G) 16. Alan Cardoso 8. Bruno Camilo 6. Cesar 15. Chicao 11. Felipe 19. Helio Paraiba 5. Jhonata Lima 3. Rafael Goiano (C) 2. Rodrigo Negueba 4. Vitor Dadalt
Substitutes
12. Alexandre Villa (G) 15. David Luis 22. Hugo Almeida 13. Kevlin 18. Leo Aquino 16. Leylon 17. Mineiro R. 21. Netto 20. Pablo Bueno 19. Rickelmy 14. Tairone	10. Alexandre Camargo 17. Bruninho 20. Carlos Alberto 9. Carlos Henrique 23. Celsinho 13. Fred 24. Guilherme Schneiders 21. Jean Carlo 14. Jesse 7. Leo 18. Lucas Lucena 12. Lucio (G)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Santa Cruz-RS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avenida is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz-RS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz-RS won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz-RS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.02.24	Caxias - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
01.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.02.24	Avenida - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Juventude - Avenida	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Avenida - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	São Luiz - Avenida	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
15.05.22	Avenida - Santa Cruz-RS	1:1
08.05.22	Santa Cruz-RS - Avenida	0:0

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